The main intrigue: can RB Leipzig confidently beat Borussia Dortmund, or are we in for a tense battle for every ball? In this key Bundesliga clash, which attracts prediction enthusiasts, the details will be decisive: midfield control, attacking accuracy, set pieces, pressing, and discipline — all of this forms the foundation for analysis and predictions for the RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund match.
Preview RB Leipzig — Borussia Dortmund — this is a match where speed, pressing, and attacking efficiency will be crucial. Below is the prediction RB Leipzig — Borussia Dortmund with an analysis of form, tactics, and betting options, as well as a mathematical prediction RB Leipzig — Borussia Dortmund based on outcome probabilities and expected goals.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.02.2026 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig — Bayer Leverkusen | 2:1 | ✅ W |
| 14.02.2026 | Bundesliga | Stuttgart — RB Leipzig | 0:0 | ⚪ D |
| 07.02.2026 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig — Borussia Monchengladbach | 3:2 | ✅ W |
| 31.01.2026 | Bundesliga | Eintracht Frankfurt — RB Leipzig | 1:1 | ⚪ D |
| 24.01.2026 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig — Freiburg | 2:0 | ✅ W |
Form summary: 3 wins, 2 draws, 8 scored / 4 conceded.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.02.2026 | Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund — Cologne | 2:2 | ⚪ D |
| 12.02.2026 | Bundesliga | Freiburg — Borussia Dortmund | 1:1 | ⚪ D |
| 05.02.2026 | Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund — Wolfsburg | 1:0 | ✅ W |
| 29.01.2026 | Bundesliga | Bayer Leverkusen — Borussia Dortmund | 2:3 | ✅ W |
| 22.01.2026 | Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund — Hertha | 0:0 | ⚪ D |
Form summary: 2 wins, 3 draws, 6 scored / 5 conceded.
| Score | Rating | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| 2:1 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ | the most logical scenario with RB Leipzig’s attacking tempo |
| 1:1 | ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ | if Borussia Dortmund defend well and counter-attack |
| 3:1 | ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ | if the hosts score first and control the midfield |
| 1:0 | ⭐⭐☆☆☆ | low-scoring scenario with a decisive first goal |
| 2:2 | ⭐⭐☆☆☆ | in a more open and attacking game |
| 0:1 | ⭐☆☆☆☆ | rare scenario with Borussia Dortmund’s counter-attacks |
⚠️ Odds depend on the bookmaker and update time. Below is a typical range.
| Market | Bet | Odds (approx.) |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win (RB Leipzig) | 1.70 – 1.95 |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.20 – 3.60 |
| 1X2 | Away Win (Borussia Dortmund) | 3.80 – 4.40 |
| Total 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1.60 – 1.90 |
| Total 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 1.85 – 2.20 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.65 – 2.05 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.75 – 2.20 |
The favourite is RB Leipzig, as the team is stronger in attack and controlling key areas of the game.
Based on the model and playing style, the hosts have a higher chance: RB Leipzig are closer to victory, but a draw is possible.
Probably not: the match could be tight and tactical. Under 3.5 or Under 2.5 look solid.
Yes, this market seems logical: the match could be decided by a single goal through counter-attacks or a set-piece.
If you prefer a safer option, go with combinations of totals and double chance; for riskier bets, choose correct score.
The base prediction is 2:1 or 1:1, and the overall RB Leipzig — Borussia Dortmund match prediction points to a home win in an attacking tempo.
Summing up form and style, the prediction for RB Leipzig — Borussia Dortmund remains pragmatic: the hosts are closer to victory in an attacking and controlled game.
Insights
RB Leipzig knows how to dominate their opponents by controlling the tempo and effectively using the wings. Against teams that play defensively, this often gives them a decisive advantage.<br />
The team is known for its tough play, numerous duels, and reliance on set pieces. This makes the match tense, where every moment counts.<br />
If Leipzig scores early, the game will become more open, and the hosts will get a comfortable scenario. However, if Borussia holds the score, the match could drag on and turn into a tense battle.<br />
Bet takeaway
Main scenario — maintain control, not giving the opponent easy chances:
If Leipzig scores first, it makes sense to switch to a control mode: less risk, more possession, and discipline.
Main prediction — RB Leipzig win. The team is structurally more stable, with a higher level of team organization and attacking variety. Borussia Dortmund can cause problems, but Leipzig should secure the result with proper control.
Зрозуміло!
Outcome | Probability
P1 — victory for Leipzig | 51%
X — draw | 28%
P2 — victory for Borussia Dortmund | 21%
Expected goals (xG):
Team | xG
RB Leipzig | 1.65 – 2.05
Borussia Dortmund | 0.75 – 1.15
